%
2024-08-15 23:47:16 UTC
Reply
PermalinkKALAMAZOO, MICHIGAN - JULY 17: US Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at
a moderated conversation with former Trump administration national
security official Olivia Troye and former Republican voter Amanda
Stratton on July 17, 2024 in Kalamazoo, Michigan. (Photo by Chris
duMond/Getty Images)
KALAMAZOO, MICHIGAN - JULY 17: US Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at
a moderated conversation with former Trump administration national
security official Olivia Troye and former Republican voter Amanda
Stratton on July 17, 2024 in Kalamazoo, Michigan. (Photo by Chris
duMond/Getty Images)
© provided by RawStory
Vice President Kamala Harris now has two paths to victory over former
President Donald Trump in the upcoming election, a new Washington Post
analysis found.
Harris, the presumptive Democratic nominee's campaign, became Thursday
the Washington Post's favorite to win the White House should the
election take place today, based on a polling data analysis that found
she has more ways to win.
"For now, that is a game changer," wrote data scientist Lenny Bronner.
Want more breaking political news? Click for the latest headlines at Raw
Story.
The vice president has claimed leads in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and
is closing the gap in Michigan, where Trump now leads by less than a
percentage point, the Washington Post reports. The analysts expect a tie
in that state within days.
Trump maintains a lead in the electoral college tally but the Post finds
Harris is competitive in more states that could add to 270 electoral
college votes, according to the Post.
Harris has two paths: claiming Rust Belt states — Michigan, Wisconsin
and Pennsylvania — or the Sun Belt states of Georgia, Arizona and
Nevada, according to the Post.
ALSO READ: Sen. John Fetterman violates financial law with botched
corporate bond disclosures
But Trump, their analysis found, must win both.
Related video: Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President Leads 2024 Election Poll
by 3 Points, Shows Strength Among Independent, Young Voters (Benzinga)
Current Time 0:06
/
Duration 1:02
Benzinga
Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President Leads 2024 Election Poll by 3 Points,
Shows Strength Among Independent, Young Voters
0
View on Watch
View on Watch
More videos
Trump Campaign Scrambles to Counter Harris' Rising Popularity
Revolution Daily/Revolution Daily
Trump Campaign Scrambles to Counter Harris' Rising Popularity
Trump Has 'Lost Control,' Says Veteran GOP Pollster — Kamala Harris
Holds 'Intensity Advantage' As A Game Changer
Benzinga (Video)/Benzinga (Video)
Trump Has 'Lost Control,' Says Veteran GOP Pollster — Kamala Harris
Holds 'Intensity Advantage' As A Game Changer
Kamala Harris picking up steam ahead of DNC
FOX 13 Seattle/FOX 13 Seattle
Kamala Harris picking up steam ahead of DNC
"The reason Harris is now the favorite is because Harris has closed the
gap with Trump in Sun Belt states enough to open a second path to the
presidency," wrote Bronner. "There’s no question something big happened."
Polls historically underestimated Trump in his last two presidential
elections, but the Post analysis found Harris' freedom from Rust Belt
reliance and her campaign's continued momentum in swing states could
balance it out.
"Our model shows that for Trump to win the White House, he would need to
notch victories in both the Rust Belt and Sun Belt," writes Bronner.
"But crucially for Harris, she would win by taking just one of those two
paths."